Round 10 · simulation 11 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.035 to 6.54.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.54 (+0.035)
In: 6.50
Rank by index
90
In: 90
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
74
In: 62
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.183.25+0.07110
Strategic Infrastructure6.546.54+0.0019
National Security4.004.01+0.0079
Human Capital7.897.91+0.02212 → 11
Information & Influence8.068.05−0.0039
Governance & Integrity8.058.05−0.00716
Financial Strength7.097.09−0.00121
Production & Innovation6.736.81+0.08016 → 15
Trade & Investment6.997.13+0.14613

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 141, plus 62 carried in. Maintenance 106. Spent 22 on actions (buy 9, partner 13). 74 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.28 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 2 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.61 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 2 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 12 to 11; Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 15.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.72+0.590.000.00+0.12
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.58+0.600.000.00−0.02
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.56+0.540.000.00+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.50+0.520.000.00−0.02
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.26+0.270.000.00−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.13+0.140.000.00−0.01