Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.010 to 7.24.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.24 (−0.011)
- In: 7.25
- Rank by index
- 78
- In: 77
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 40
- In: 44
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.08 | 3.13 | +0.044 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.89 | 7.90 | +0.011 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.60 | 4.61 | +0.003 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.02 | 8.17 | +0.150 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.42 | 8.33 | −0.092 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.87 | 8.85 | −0.022 | 14 → 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.47 | 8.36 | −0.105 | 17 → 18 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.69 | 7.63 | −0.057 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.23 | 8.21 | −0.025 | 12 → 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 145, plus 44 carried in. Maintenance 125. Spent 24 on actions (build 15, buy 5, partner 5). 40 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 10 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling5 credits for 0.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 0 per cent
- BuildDigital & AI Competence5 credits for 0.49 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
Earlier events still landing: −2.6 points this round.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 18; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.62 | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.56 | +0.67 | 0.00 | −0.11 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.50 | +0.57 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.42 | +0.50 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.24 | +0.28 | 0.00 | −0.05 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.19 | 0.00 |