Round 2028
Round 2 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.016 to 6.79.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.79 (+0.017)
- In: 6.77
- Rank by index
- 85
- In: 85
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 24
- In: 12
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.89 | 2.89 | 0.000 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.24 | 7.24 | 0.000 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.44 | 4.44 | 0.000 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.35 | 7.42 | +0.076 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.06 | 8.06 | −0.004 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.53 | 8.52 | −0.002 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.84 | 7.86 | +0.015 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.04 | 7.12 | +0.084 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.59 | 7.57 | −0.022 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 150, plus 12 carried in. Maintenance 114. Spent 24 on actions (build 15, buy 5, partner 5). 24 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.29 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling5 credits for 0.58 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence5 credits for 0.52 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.63 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.24 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.23 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.23 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.05 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.21 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.08 |