Round 20 · simulation 11 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.022 to 6.19.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.19 (+0.022)
In: 6.17
Rank by index
94
In: 94
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
239
In: 219
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.884.09+0.2087
Strategic Infrastructure5.755.71−0.0389
National Security3.823.81−0.0119
Human Capital7.157.13−0.01612
Information & Influence7.657.64−0.0068
Governance & Integrity7.487.47−0.00617
Financial Strength6.406.40−0.00423
Production & Innovation6.376.41+0.04015
Trade & Investment7.057.08+0.03311

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 145, plus 219 carried in. Maintenance 103. Spent 22 on actions (buy 22). 239 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity4 credits for 0.35 levelsmcts
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing4 credits for 0.51 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation4 credits for 0.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing4 credits for 0.40 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies4 credits for 0.51 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.53+0.540.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.51+0.510.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.51+0.510.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.39+0.400.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.34+0.350.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.25+0.280.000.00−0.02