Round 2045
Round 19 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.030 to 6.17.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.17 (+0.030)
- In: 6.14
- Rank by index
- 94
- In: 94
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 231
- In: 209
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.72 | 3.88 | +0.157 | 8 → 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.78 | 5.75 | −0.037 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.83 | 3.82 | −0.011 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.16 | 7.15 | −0.013 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.52 | 7.65 | +0.127 | 9 → 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.49 | 7.48 | −0.011 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 6.41 | 6.40 | −0.006 | 23 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.38 | 6.37 | −0.014 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.97 | 7.05 | +0.072 | 12 → 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 145, plus 209 carried in. Maintenance 102. Spent 22 on actions (buy 17, partner 4). 231 carried over.
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies4 credits for 0.53 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing4 credits for 0.52 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing4 credits for 0.41 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance4 credits for 0.52 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access4 credits for 0.55 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.53 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.53 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.52 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.52 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.40 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.26 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |