Round 2 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.022 to 7.22.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.22 (+0.022)
In: 7.20
Rank by index
79
In: 79
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
26
In: 12
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.902.97+0.07212
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.880.0007
National Security4.604.600.0009
Human Capital7.717.79+0.07612
Information & Influence8.318.310.0009
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.598.63+0.04617
Production & Innovation7.577.570.00014
Trade & Investment8.308.300.00012

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 162, plus 12 carried in. Maintenance 124. Spent 24 on actions (build 15, buy 5, partner 5). 26 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.27 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling5 credits for 0.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence5 credits for 0.51 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.72+0.720.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.27+0.270.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.24+0.240.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.23+0.230.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.20+0.200.000.000.00
Monetary & Currency Capability+0.010.000.000.00+0.01