Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.038 to 7.25.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.25 (+0.038)
- In: 7.22
- Rank by index
- 77
- In: 79
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 39
- In: 25
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.97 | 2.97 | 0.000 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.88 | 7.88 | +0.002 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.60 | 4.60 | 0.000 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.79 | 7.89 | +0.101 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.31 | 8.42 | +0.103 | 9 → 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.89 | +0.001 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.63 | 8.68 | +0.047 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.57 | 7.66 | +0.089 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.30 | 8.30 | 0.000 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 163, plus 25 carried in. Maintenance 124. Spent 24 on actions (build 10, buy 10, partner 5). 39 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.26 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.59 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling5 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.62 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 9 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.62 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.61 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.36 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.35 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.27 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.20 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |