Round 16 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.039 to 7.71.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.71 (+0.040)
In: 7.67
Rank by index
72
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
149
In: 134
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.384.53+0.1547
Strategic Infrastructure8.058.07+0.0217
National Security4.694.70+0.0099
Human Capital8.478.47+0.00511
Information & Influence8.938.94+0.0127
Governance & Integrity8.848.84+0.00115
Financial Strength8.878.88+0.00816
Production & Innovation8.058.14+0.09214 → 12
Trade & Investment8.768.81+0.05211

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 181, plus 134 carried in. Maintenance 140. Spent 27 on actions (buy 16, partner 11). 149 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace Technologies5 credits for 0.48 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation5 credits for 0.65 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.49 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection5 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.59 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.65+0.650.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.60+0.590.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.49+0.490.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.29+0.280.000.00+0.01
Space Technologies+0.24+0.240.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.150.000.000.00+0.15