Round 15 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.049 to 7.67.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.67 (+0.049)
In: 7.62
Rank by index
72
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
141
In: 126
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.124.38+0.2538 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure8.038.05+0.0207
National Security4.684.69+0.0109
Human Capital8.468.47+0.00511
Information & Influence8.868.93+0.0667
Governance & Integrity8.848.840.00015
Financial Strength8.868.87+0.01016
Production & Innovation7.998.05+0.06414
Trade & Investment8.748.76+0.01311

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 180, plus 126 carried in. Maintenance 137. Spent 27 on actions (buy 27). 141 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.38 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.50 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation5 credits for 0.65 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing5 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.76+0.610.000.00+0.15
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.65+0.650.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.61+0.610.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.39+0.380.000.00+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.33+0.330.000.000.00