Round 19 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.043 to 7.85.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.85 (+0.043)
In: 7.80
Rank by index
70
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
161
In: 151
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.975.21+0.2387
Strategic Infrastructure8.108.12+0.0157
National Security4.724.73+0.0139
Human Capital8.488.49+0.00511
Information & Influence9.119.18+0.0627
Governance & Integrity8.848.84+0.00115
Financial Strength8.888.88+0.00116
Production & Innovation8.168.16+0.00512
Trade & Investment8.969.01+0.04811

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 182, plus 151 carried in. Maintenance 145. Spent 27 on actions (buy 16, partner 11). 161 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace Technologies6 credits for 0.48 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation6 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Energy Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies6 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing6 credits for 0.59 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.59 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.64+0.630.000.00+0.01
Energy Technologies+0.61+0.610.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.48+0.480.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.33+0.320.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.29+0.290.000.000.00