Round 20 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.047 to 7.89.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.89 (+0.046)
In: 7.85
Rank by index
70
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
161
In: 153
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.215.53+0.3217 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure8.128.13+0.0117
National Security4.734.75+0.0179
Human Capital8.498.49+0.00511
Information & Influence9.189.18+0.0077
Governance & Integrity8.848.840.00015
Financial Strength8.888.88+0.00316
Production & Innovation8.168.17+0.00512
Trade & Investment9.019.06+0.04911

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 182, plus 153 carried in. Maintenance 147. Spent 27 on actions (buy 27). 161 carried over.

  • BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.47 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems6 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation6 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.59 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.68+0.570.000.00+0.11
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+0.62+0.610.000.00+0.01
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.62+0.610.000.00+0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.47+0.470.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.29+0.290.000.000.00