Round 20 · simulation 5 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 5 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.031 to 7.09.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.09 (+0.031)
In: 7.06
Rank by index
80
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
238
In: 222
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.644.91+0.2737
Strategic Infrastructure6.766.75−0.0129
National Security4.474.48+0.0039
Human Capital7.727.72−0.00611
Information & Influence8.578.58+0.0067
Governance & Integrity8.288.27−0.00416
Financial Strength7.297.31+0.02422
Production & Innovation7.757.75−0.00311
Trade & Investment8.048.03−0.00211

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 167, plus 222 carried in. Maintenance 126. Spent 25 on actions (buy 25). 238 carried over.

  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems5 credits for 0.58 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.54 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.43 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation5 credits for 0.58 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Energy Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies5 credits for 0.56 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+0.58+0.580.000.00+0.01
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.58+0.580.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.57+0.540.000.00+0.04
Energy Technologies+0.56+0.560.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.43+0.430.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.15+0.150.000.000.00