Round 15 · simulation 18 · mcts-m2b.m2b-kor-greedy

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.074 to 16.34.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.34 (−0.074)
In: 16.41
Rank by index
5
In: 4
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 5
Credits carried
1,347
In: 1,222
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.8715.73−0.1382
Strategic Infrastructure15.6815.47−0.2032
National Security12.8112.48−0.3333
Human Capital18.9118.92+0.0121
Information & Influence17.6817.32−0.3621
Governance & Integrity16.6716.69+0.0231
Financial Strength15.7615.83+0.0743 → 2
Production & Innovation16.6116.83+0.2171
Trade & Investment17.6917.73+0.0421

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,047, plus 1,222 carried in. Maintenance 761. Spent 161 on actions (build 64, buy 32, partner 64). 1,347 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance32 credits for 0.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 4 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion32 credits for 1.44 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 2 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics32 credits for 1.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 7 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication32 credits for 1.35 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Government Effectiveness & Public Administration by 1 per cent
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration32 credits for 1.03 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 5 per cent
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −13.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.34+1.440.00−0.13+0.02
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.80+0.920.00−0.12−0.01
Transparency, Oversight & Accountability+0.65+0.770.00−0.12+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.61+0.770.00−0.150.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.550.000.00−0.550.00
Maritime Power−0.550.000.00−0.54−0.01