Round 1 · simulation 11 · mcts-m2b.m2b-kor-mcts-index

Round 2027

Round 1 of 20 in simulation 11 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 0 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.409 to 15.59.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.59 (−0.409)
In: 16.00
Rank by index
7
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 2
Credits carried
352
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.06−0.0242
Strategic Infrastructure16.3215.67−0.6432
National Security14.4114.17−0.2353
Human Capital16.4916.14−0.3551 → 2
Information & Influence15.4915.24−0.2513
Governance & Integrity15.8415.53−0.3114 → 5
Financial Strength16.0715.42−0.6595
Production & Innovation16.6316.08−0.5491 → 2
Trade & Investment16.6816.02−0.6572 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2027: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,014. Maintenance 662. Nothing spent on actions. 352 carried over.

  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −28.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 1 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2027, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.140.000.00−1.140.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.980.000.00−0.980.00
Financial System Depth & Access−0.970.000.00−0.970.00
Industrial & Sectoral Base−0.960.000.00−0.960.00
Energy Infrastructure−0.920.000.00−0.920.00
Transport Infrastructure−0.920.000.00−0.920.00