Round 9 · simulation 11 · mcts-m2b.m2b-kor-mcts-index

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 11 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.244 to 15.68.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.68 (−0.244)
In: 15.93
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 4
Credits carried
1,336
In: 1,181
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.7715.58−0.1933
Strategic Infrastructure15.4614.98−0.4762
National Security14.1213.60−0.5123
Human Capital18.2218.15−0.0771
Information & Influence16.1816.22+0.0451
Governance & Integrity15.3315.07−0.2635
Financial Strength15.5915.18−0.4111
Production & Innovation16.0515.84−0.2042
Trade & Investment16.6416.53−0.1051

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,050, plus 1,181 carried in. Maintenance 742. Spent 153 on actions (build 61, partner 92). 1,336 carried over.

  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics31 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Global Value Chain Position by 1 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position31 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity31 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent
  • BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance31 credits for 1.86 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & Services Trade by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −26.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.000.000.00−0.99−0.01
Maritime Power−0.850.000.00−0.85−0.01
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−0.850.000.00−0.850.00
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−0.840.000.00−0.86+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.83+1.220.00−0.38−0.01
Resource Infrastructure−0.810.000.00−0.81+0.01