Round 4 · simulation 2 · mcts-m2b.m2b-kor-mcts-index

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 2 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.062 to 15.87.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.87 (+0.062)
In: 15.81
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
1,034
In: 821
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9615.96−0.0063
Strategic Infrastructure16.0416.03−0.0112
National Security14.3014.30−0.0043
Human Capital16.5517.15+0.6061
Information & Influence15.2215.21−0.0063
Governance & Integrity15.7015.69−0.0015
Financial Strength15.7615.75−0.0055
Production & Innovation16.4116.40−0.0091
Trade & Investment16.3616.35−0.0102

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,000, plus 821 carried in. Maintenance 637. Spent 150 on actions (build 90, buy 60). 1,034 carried over.

  • BuyLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence30 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation30 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education30 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.67+1.670.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.53+1.530.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.04+1.040.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.71+0.710.000.000.00
Advanced Education+0.52+0.520.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.030.000.000.00−0.03