Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.288 to 16.50.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.50 (−0.289)
- In: 16.79
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 5
- Credits carried
- 1,602
- In: 1,548
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.42 | 16.29 | −0.134 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.22 | 15.79 | −0.425 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.24 | 13.73 | −0.511 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.40 | 18.35 | −0.055 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.41 | 17.46 | +0.047 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.92 | 15.88 | −0.039 | 3 → 1 |
| Financial Strength | 16.84 | 16.35 | −0.491 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.95 | 16.57 | −0.378 | 1 → 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.71 | 18.10 | −0.607 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,102, plus 1,548 carried in. Maintenance 882. Spent 165 on actions (build 132, partner 33). 1,602 carried over.
- PartnerSpace Technologies33 credits for 1.23 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuildFinancial Infrastructure33 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption33 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPopulation Health33 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls33 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −27.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 1; Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +1.20 | +1.40 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.96 | −0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.01 | +0.07 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.85 | −0.01 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.86 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.84 | 0.00 |