Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.471 to 16.03.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.03 (−0.470)
- In: 16.50
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 5
- Credits carried
- 1,652
- In: 1,522
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.29 | 16.03 | −0.256 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.79 | 15.19 | −0.601 | 2 |
| National Security | 13.73 | 12.94 | −0.785 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.35 | 18.23 | −0.118 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.46 | 17.27 | −0.186 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.88 | 15.74 | −0.138 | 1 → 2 |
| Financial Strength | 16.35 | 15.57 | −0.776 | 1 → 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.57 | 16.17 | −0.404 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.10 | 17.13 | −0.972 | 1 → 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,077, plus 1,522 carried in. Maintenance 782. Spent 165 on actions (build 66, buy 66, partner 33). 1,652 carried over.
- BuildResource Infrastructure33 credits for 1.64 levelsmctsahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation33 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion33 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure33 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption33 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −41.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 1 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 1 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −1.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.55 | −0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.48 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.30 | −0.05 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.32 | +0.01 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.31 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | −1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.31 | +0.01 |