Round 4 · simulation 1 · mcts-m3.m3-kor-mcts-tier1

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.080 to 16.16.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.16 (+0.080)
In: 16.08
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
1,016
In: 820
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.080.0002
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.320.0002
National Security14.4114.410.0003
Human Capital17.1817.56+0.3741
Information & Influence15.4915.70+0.2033 → 2
Governance & Integrity15.8415.840.0004
Financial Strength16.0716.070.0005
Production & Innovation16.6316.630.0001
Trade & Investment16.6816.82+0.1412

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,014, plus 820 carried in. Maintenance 667. Spent 152 on actions (build 61, buy 30, partner 61). 1,016 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.00 levelsmcts_greedy
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 2 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation30 credits for 2.43 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation30 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 3 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access30 credits for 1.97 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Foundational Education by 2 per cent

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.22+1.220.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.93+0.930.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.83+0.830.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.36+0.360.000.000.00