Round 5 · simulation 1 · mcts-m3.m3-kor-mcts-tier1

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.151 to 16.31.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.31 (+0.151)
In: 16.16
Rank by index
5
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 2
Credits carried
1,147
In: 965
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.09+0.0122
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.32+0.0012
National Security14.4114.410.0003
Human Capital17.5617.85+0.2931
Information & Influence15.7016.53+0.8302 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.8415.840.0004
Financial Strength16.0716.15+0.0765 → 4
Production & Innovation16.6316.64+0.0061
Trade & Investment16.8216.96+0.1432 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,014, plus 965 carried in. Maintenance 680. Spent 152 on actions (build 30, buy 30, partner 91). 1,147 carried over.

  • BuildFoundational Education30 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_greedy
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation30 credits for 1.82 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance30 credits for 1.98 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 2 per cent

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+2.13+2.130.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.98+1.980.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.93+0.930.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.87+0.870.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.83+0.830.000.000.00