Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.135 to 16.04.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.04 (+0.135)
- In: 15.91
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 1,988
- In: 1,796
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.04 | 16.10 | +0.056 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.13 | 15.36 | +0.233 | 2 |
| National Security | 12.82 | 12.83 | +0.004 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.17 | 18.28 | +0.116 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.87 | 16.88 | +0.011 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.29 | 15.46 | +0.172 | 5 → 3 |
| Financial Strength | 15.57 | 15.63 | +0.058 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.18 | 16.21 | +0.034 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.11 | 17.64 | +0.528 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,034, plus 1,796 carried in. Maintenance 682. Spent 160 on actions (build 32, partner 128). 1,988 carried over.
- BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration32 credits for 1.06 levelsmctsahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 17 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance32 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics32 credits for 1.82 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication32 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection32 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +14.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +1.33 | +1.32 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.03 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.94 | +0.91 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.02 |
| Resource Infrastructure | +0.85 | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.69 | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.07 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.68 | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.05 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.63 | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |