Round 15 · simulation 1 · mcts-m3.m3-kor-mcts-tier1

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.138 to 16.18.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.18 (+0.138)
In: 16.04
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 3
Credits carried
2,100
In: 1,888
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1016.13+0.0322
Strategic Infrastructure15.3615.43+0.0672
National Security12.8312.81−0.0123
Human Capital18.2818.39+0.1121
Information & Influence16.8817.00+0.1151
Governance & Integrity15.4615.64+0.1783
Financial Strength15.6315.79+0.1595 → 1
Production & Innovation16.2116.24+0.0282
Trade & Investment17.6418.20+0.5611

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,078, plus 1,888 carried in. Maintenance 712. Spent 155 on actions (build 31, partner 124). 2,100 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics31 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & Services Trade by 2 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade31 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 3 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 1 per cent
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption31 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +2.8 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+1.59+1.600.00+0.04−0.05
Digital & Services Trade+0.84+0.800.00+0.04−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.83+0.820.00+0.02−0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.71+0.670.00+0.04−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.68+0.710.00+0.04−0.07
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.63+0.600.00+0.02+0.01