Round 6 · simulation 4 · mcts-m3.m3-kor-mcts-tier1

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 4 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Chronic disease advance, and the index +0.118 to 16.41.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.41 (+0.118)
In: 16.30
Rank by index
4
In: 5
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 4
Credits carried
1,050
In: 977
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9816.00+0.0173
Strategic Infrastructure16.4316.52+0.0901
National Security14.4114.41+0.0023
Human Capital18.0118.18+0.1741
Information & Influence16.2416.48+0.2342
Governance & Integrity15.9216.03+0.1113
Financial Strength16.0216.17+0.1515 → 2
Production & Innovation16.6616.79+0.1311
Trade & Investment16.9817.13+0.1511

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 930, plus 977 carried in. Maintenance 719. Spent 138 on actions (build 55, partner 83). 1,050 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance28 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_greedy
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks28 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Foundational Education by 1 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education28 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection28 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity28 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 2 per cent
  • Upside event: Chronic disease advance S19. +15.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.60+1.630.00−0.030.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.88+0.780.00+0.09+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.87+0.860.00−0.03+0.04
Economic Output & Productivity+0.81+0.790.00+0.020.00
Foundational Education+0.52+0.430.00+0.080.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.36+0.400.00+0.030.00