Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 4 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.095 to 16.30.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.30 (+0.095)
- In: 16.20
- Rank by index
- 5
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 1,028
- In: 963
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.03 | 15.98 | −0.044 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.37 | 16.43 | +0.059 | 2 → 1 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.41 | +0.002 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.69 | 18.01 | +0.323 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.83 | 16.24 | +0.409 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.88 | 15.92 | +0.040 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 16.01 | 16.02 | +0.008 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.61 | 16.66 | +0.049 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.97 | 16.98 | +0.013 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 920, plus 963 carried in. Maintenance 703. Spent 152 on actions (build 61, buy 30, partner 61). 1,028 carried over.
- BuildFoundational Education30 credits for 1.19 levelsmctsahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance30 credits for 1.98 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity30 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −0.4 points this round.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.93 | +1.98 | 0.00 | −0.05 | −0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.10 | +0.99 | 0.00 | +0.11 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.87 | +0.90 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.82 | +0.88 | 0.00 | −0.05 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.42 | +0.43 | 0.00 | −0.01 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.34 | +0.36 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |