Round 5 · simulation 10 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-greedy-30y

Round 2031

Round 5 of 30 in simulation 10 of South Korea, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.133 to 15.91.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.91 (+0.133)
In: 15.78
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
953
In: 723
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.6915.70+0.0113
Strategic Infrastructure15.4615.45−0.0072
National Security13.6613.65−0.0033
Human Capital18.0718.28+0.2061
Information & Influence15.4215.87+0.4502
Governance & Integrity15.3515.350.0005
Financial Strength15.9916.06+0.0745 → 2
Production & Innovation16.1516.20+0.0582
Trade & Investment16.2116.61+0.4093 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,019, plus 723 carried in. Maintenance 637. Spent 151 on actions (build 30, partner 121). 953 carried over.

  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 2 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity30 credits for 1.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection30 credits for 1.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 2 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation30 credits for 1.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 2 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence30 credits for 1.94 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 2 per cent

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.76+1.760.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.04+1.050.000.00−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.95+0.970.000.00−0.02
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.91+0.920.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.90+0.910.000.00−0.01
Digital & AI Competence+0.68+0.700.000.000.00