Round 4 · simulation 10 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-greedy-30y

Round 2030

Round 4 of 30 in simulation 10 of South Korea, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.177 to 15.78.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.78 (−0.178)
In: 15.95
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 2
Credits carried
761
In: 557
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9615.69−0.2713
Strategic Infrastructure16.0315.46−0.5752
National Security14.3013.66−0.6403
Human Capital17.5818.07+0.4931
Information & Influence15.4215.420.0002
Governance & Integrity15.7015.35−0.3515
Financial Strength15.8415.99+0.1535
Production & Innovation16.4016.15−0.2511 → 2
Trade & Investment16.3616.21−0.1502 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,008, plus 557 carried in. Maintenance 654. Spent 150 on actions (build 30, buy 30, partner 90). 761 carried over.

  • BuildFoundational Education30 credits for 1.13 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access30 credits for 2.09 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.90 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.77 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 2 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance30 credits for 1.99 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 3 per cent
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −25.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.48+1.990.00−0.52+0.01
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.46+1.460.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.31+1.310.000.000.00
Intelligence & Assessment−1.040.000.00−1.040.00
Maritime Power−1.040.000.00−1.040.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−1.040.000.00−1.040.00