Round 3 · simulation 1 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-mcts-index-10y

Round 2029

Round 3 of 10 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 10 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.103 to 16.22.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.22 (+0.103)
In: 16.12
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 2
Credits carried
584
In: 377
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.09+0.0022
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.32+0.0052
National Security14.4114.41+0.0023
Human Capital17.1817.53+0.3491
Information & Influence15.7016.06+0.3612 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.8415.84+0.0014
Financial Strength16.2316.29+0.0634 → 2
Production & Innovation16.6316.630.0001
Trade & Investment16.6816.82+0.1422

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,030, plus 377 carried in. Maintenance 669. Spent 153 on actions (build 61, partner 92). 584 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.72 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills31 credits for 2.03 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access31 credits for 1.98 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education31 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation31 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 4 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+2.13+2.130.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.44+1.440.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.99+0.990.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.68+0.680.000.000.00
Advanced Education+0.51+0.510.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.50+0.500.000.000.00