Round 4 · simulation 1 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-mcts-index-10y

Round 2030

Round 4 of 10 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 10 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.145 to 16.37.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.37 (+0.145)
In: 16.22
Rank by index
4
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 3
Credits carried
729
In: 555
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0916.09+0.0012
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.33+0.0102
National Security14.4114.41+0.0053
Human Capital17.5318.01+0.4861
Information & Influence16.0616.59+0.5311
Governance & Integrity15.8415.85+0.0024
Financial Strength16.2916.35+0.0622 → 1
Production & Innovation16.6316.69+0.0631
Trade & Investment16.8216.96+0.1442 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,036, plus 555 carried in. Maintenance 706. Spent 155 on actions (build 93, buy 62). 729 carried over.

  • BuildDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.56 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation31 credits for 0.99 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education31 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance31 credits for 2.00 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity31 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+2.02+2.000.000.00+0.02
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.44+1.440.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.99+0.990.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.99+0.990.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.68+0.680.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.65+0.920.000.000.00