Round 2030
Round 4 of 10 in simulation 10 of South Korea, tree search, 10 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.188 to 15.83.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 15.83 (−0.188)
- In: 16.02
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 763
- In: 579
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.96 | 15.70 | −0.260 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.04 | 15.49 | −0.544 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.30 | 13.69 | −0.613 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.53 | 17.86 | +0.333 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.80 | 15.72 | −0.079 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.70 | 15.36 | −0.339 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 15.92 | 15.91 | −0.002 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.40 | 16.22 | −0.180 | 1 → 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.51 | 16.50 | −0.009 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,015, plus 579 carried in. Maintenance 679. Spent 152 on actions (build 91, buy 31, partner 31). 763 carried over.
- BuildDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts
- BuildFoundational Education31 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance31 credits for 2.01 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection31 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity31 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −24.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.51 | +2.01 | 0.00 | −0.50 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.04 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | −1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.00 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.00 | 0.00 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.00 | +0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.99 | 0.00 |