Round 5 · simulation 10 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-mcts-index-10y

Round 2031

Round 5 of 10 in simulation 10 of South Korea, tree search, 10 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.116 to 15.95.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.95 (+0.116)
In: 15.83
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
933
In: 724
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.7015.90+0.1963 → 2
Strategic Infrastructure15.4915.490.0002
National Security13.6913.69+0.0013
Human Capital17.8618.11+0.2451
Information & Influence15.7215.96+0.2331
Governance & Integrity15.3615.36−0.0025
Financial Strength15.9115.96+0.0455
Production & Innovation16.2216.28+0.0622
Trade & Investment16.5016.76+0.2622

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,020, plus 724 carried in. Maintenance 659. Spent 152 on actions (build 61, buy 31, partner 61). 933 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence31 credits for 1.87 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence31 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education31 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.88+1.870.000.00+0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.42+1.420.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.96+0.970.000.00−0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.90+0.890.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.68+0.700.000.000.00
Advanced Education+0.53+0.530.000.000.00