Round 15 · simulation 3 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-mcts-index-30y

Round 2041

Round 15 of 30 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.076 to 16.56.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.56 (+0.075)
In: 16.48
Rank by index
3
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 4
Credits carried
2,732
In: 2,578
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9916.01+0.0152
Strategic Infrastructure16.4116.45+0.0392 → 1
National Security14.4114.42+0.0123
Human Capital17.8617.95+0.0881
Information & Influence16.6516.83+0.1851
Governance & Integrity15.8315.89+0.0594 → 3
Financial Strength16.4016.47+0.0661
Production & Innovation16.7316.82+0.0862
Trade & Investment18.0518.18+0.1321

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,082, plus 2,578 carried in. Maintenance 768. Spent 160 on actions (build 96, partner 64). 2,732 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance32 credits for 0.45 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication32 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildEarly Childhood Development32 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration32 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPopulation Health32 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.90+0.900.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.74+0.730.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.42+0.410.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.33+0.220.000.00+0.11
Population Health+0.29+0.280.000.000.00
Justice System & Fundamental Rights+0.25+0.250.000.000.00