Round 16 · simulation 3 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-mcts-index-30y

Round 2042

Round 16 of 30 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years: 5 actions, Clean power threshold, and the index +0.187 to 16.75.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.75 (+0.187)
In: 16.56
Rank by index
2
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 5
Credits carried
2,734
In: 2,596
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0116.33+0.3202
Strategic Infrastructure16.4516.60+0.1511
National Security14.4214.43+0.0103
Human Capital17.9518.14+0.1851
Information & Influence16.8317.14+0.3031
Governance & Integrity15.8916.07+0.1783
Financial Strength16.4716.63+0.1641
Production & Innovation16.8216.97+0.1482
Trade & Investment18.1818.41+0.2251

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,093, plus 2,596 carried in. Maintenance 792. Spent 162 on actions (build 97, buy 33, partner 33). 2,734 carried over.

  • BuildDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks33 credits for 1.25 levelsmctsahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence33 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildEarly Childhood Development33 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling33 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies33 credits for 1.87 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Clean power threshold S15. +29.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.96+1.870.00+0.090.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.95+0.900.00+0.05+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.93+0.780.00+0.09+0.05
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.51+0.420.00+0.05+0.05
Early Childhood Development+0.50+0.450.00+0.050.00
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.40+0.200.00+0.19+0.01