Round 2 · simulation 8 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-mcts-index-30y

Round 2028

Round 2 of 30 in simulation 8 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years: 0 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.091 to 15.70.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index: 15.70 (−0.090); In: 15.79
Rank by index: 6; In: 6
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 685; In: 335

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	15.95	15.85	−0.104	3
Strategic Infrastructure	16.17	16.13	−0.045	2
National Security	14.41	14.41	0.000	3
Human Capital	16.39	16.31	−0.085	2
Information & Influence	15.35	15.23	−0.119	3
Governance & Integrity	15.68	15.62	−0.069	5
Financial Strength	15.57	15.43	−0.139	5
Production & Innovation	16.29	16.17	−0.114	2
Trade & Investment	16.31	16.17	−0.140	2 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 990, plus 335 carried in. Maintenance 640. Nothing spent on actions. 685 carried over.

Shock: AI labour shock S08. −17.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Events	Graph
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance	−0.26	−0.20	−0.06
Digital & Services Trade	−0.23	−0.23	0.00
Labour & Employment	−0.22	−0.19	−0.02
Information Environment & Strategic Communication	−0.20	−0.20	0.00
Artificial Intelligence	−0.19	−0.19	0.00
Monetary & Currency Capability	−0.14	−0.10	−0.04