Round 3 · simulation 8 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-mcts-index-30y

Round 2029

Round 3 of 30 in simulation 8 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.058 to 15.64.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.64 (−0.059)
In: 15.70
Rank by index
7
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
736
In: 651
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.8515.74−0.1093
Strategic Infrastructure16.1316.07−0.0592
National Security14.4114.40−0.0033
Human Capital16.3116.55+0.2392 → 1
Information & Influence15.2315.11−0.1273
Governance & Integrity15.6215.54−0.0705
Financial Strength15.4315.30−0.1295
Production & Innovation16.1716.05−0.1242
Trade & Investment16.1716.03−0.1423

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 865, plus 651 carried in. Maintenance 631. Spent 149 on actions (build 119, buy 30). 736 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.60 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 1 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 2.44 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & AI Competence by 4 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence30 credits for 1.89 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 5 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation30 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Advanced Education by 7 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education30 credits for 1.37 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Foundational Education by 8 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −5.8 points this round.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.20+1.260.00−0.060.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.46+0.520.00−0.060.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.36+0.490.00−0.130.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.25+0.380.00−0.130.00
Digital & Services Trade−0.230.000.00−0.230.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.220.000.00−0.20−0.03