Round 2034
Round 8 of 30 in simulation 8 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.288 to 15.31.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 15.31 (−0.288)
- In: 15.60
- Rank by index
- 8
- In: 7
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 1,927
- In: 1,722
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.61 | 15.35 | −0.260 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.94 | 15.37 | −0.569 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.37 | 13.76 | −0.606 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.17 | 17.31 | +0.138 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 14.97 | 14.49 | −0.479 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.10 | −0.352 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 15.16 | 15.23 | +0.077 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.90 | 15.66 | −0.243 | 2 → 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 15.86 | 15.56 | −0.297 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 969, plus 1,722 carried in. Maintenance 618. Spent 145 on actions (build 29, buy 29, partner 87). 1,927 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence29 credits for 0.94 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation29 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance29 credits for 0.95 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills29 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation29 credits for 2.42 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −25.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 2 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.05 | +1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.03 | −0.01 |
| Maritime Power | −1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.03 | −0.01 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.03 | −0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.01 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.93 | −0.01 |