Round 2035
Round 9 of 30 in simulation 8 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years: 5 actions, Cryptographic trust break, and the index −0.322 to 14.99.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 14.99 (−0.321)
- In: 15.31
- Rank by index
- 11
- In: 8
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 2,074
- In: 1,831
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.35 | 14.77 | −0.589 | 3 → 4 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.37 | 15.05 | −0.320 | 2 → 3 |
| National Security | 13.76 | 13.14 | −0.625 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.31 | 17.36 | +0.050 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 14.49 | 14.47 | −0.022 | 3 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.10 | 14.74 | −0.360 | 5 → 6 |
| Financial Strength | 15.23 | 14.70 | −0.536 | 5 → 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.66 | 15.39 | −0.275 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 15.56 | 15.34 | −0.217 | 3 → 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 972, plus 1,831 carried in. Maintenance 584. Spent 145 on actions (build 58, buy 29, partner 58). 2,074 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance29 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access29 credits for 2.35 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation29 credits for 2.39 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education29 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance29 credits for 2.04 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Cryptographic trust break S09. −31.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 3 to 4; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 3; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 6; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 7; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.83 | +2.41 | 0.00 | −0.57 | −0.01 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.47 | +2.04 | 0.00 | −0.58 | +0.01 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.16 | −0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.16 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.16 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.14 | 0.00 |