Round 13 · simulation 1 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-goal-gap

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.467 to 15.99.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.99 (−0.467)
In: 16.46
Rank by index
6
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 4
Credits carried
1,635
In: 1,502
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2716.01−0.2592
Strategic Infrastructure15.7115.14−0.5732
National Security13.6612.86−0.8033
Human Capital18.5118.43−0.0861
Information & Influence17.1917.00−0.1941
Governance & Integrity15.9015.79−0.1111 → 2
Financial Strength16.2415.46−0.7812 → 5
Production & Innovation16.5716.16−0.4112
Trade & Investment18.0917.11−0.9821 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,068, plus 1,502 carried in. Maintenance 770. Spent 164 on actions (build 33, buy 98, partner 33). 1,635 carried over.

  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation33 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
  • BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure33 credits for 1.18 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion33 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Resource Infrastructure by 1 per cent
  • BuyResource Infrastructure33 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 2 per cent
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption33 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Labour & Employment by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −41.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.580.000.00−1.57−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.490.000.00−1.500.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.350.000.00−1.30−0.05
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−1.330.000.00−1.33+0.01
Maritime Power−1.320.000.00−1.320.00
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−1.320.000.00−1.320.00