Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.162 to 16.16.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.16 (+0.162)
- In: 15.99
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 1,740
- In: 1,553
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.01 | 16.06 | +0.052 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.14 | 15.37 | +0.235 | 2 |
| National Security | 12.86 | 12.86 | +0.003 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.43 | 18.58 | +0.154 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.00 | 17.14 | +0.137 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.79 | 16.10 | +0.309 | 2 → 1 |
| Financial Strength | 15.46 | 15.50 | +0.037 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.16 | 16.20 | +0.038 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.11 | 17.60 | +0.492 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,029, plus 1,553 carried in. Maintenance 682. Spent 160 on actions (build 32, partner 128). 1,740 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance32 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics32 credits for 1.85 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 8 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication32 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence32 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & Services Trade by 2 per cent
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade32 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Resource Infrastructure by 2 per cent
- Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +14.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.95 | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.89 | +0.84 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.87 | +0.90 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.07 |
| Resource Infrastructure | +0.86 | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.75 | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.69 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.08 |