Round 16 · simulation 1 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-goal-gap

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.134 to 16.46.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.46 (+0.134)
In: 16.33
Rank by index
3
In: 5
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 4
Credits carried
1,890
In: 1,756
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2416.28+0.0432
Strategic Infrastructure15.3915.42+0.0212
National Security12.8512.83−0.0183
Human Capital18.7318.82+0.0851
Information & Influence17.1617.29+0.1271
Governance & Integrity16.3516.58+0.2221
Financial Strength15.6315.82+0.1915 → 1
Production & Innovation16.3116.51+0.2032 → 1
Trade & Investment18.3018.64+0.3361

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,077, plus 1,756 carried in. Maintenance 784. Spent 160 on actions (build 96, partner 64). 1,890 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance32 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks32 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Transparency, Oversight & Accountability by 1 per cent
  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability32 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access32 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Labour & Employment by 1 per cent
  • BuildLabour & Employment32 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Resource Infrastructure by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +2.9 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 1; Production & Innovation Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Labour & Employment+1.12+1.070.00+0.04+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.92+0.890.00+0.02+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.73+0.640.00+0.04+0.05
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.71+0.650.00+0.04+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.70+0.700.00+0.04−0.04
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.63+0.600.00+0.02+0.01