Round 15 · simulation 1 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-goal-gap

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.172 to 16.33.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.33 (+0.172)
In: 16.16
Rank by index
5
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 4
Credits carried
1,849
In: 1,653
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0616.24+0.1792
Strategic Infrastructure15.3715.39+0.0232
National Security12.8612.85−0.0173
Human Capital18.5818.73+0.1481
Information & Influence17.1417.16+0.0221
Governance & Integrity16.1016.35+0.2521
Financial Strength15.5015.63+0.1285
Production & Innovation16.2016.31+0.1112
Trade & Investment17.6018.30+0.6981

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,065, plus 1,653 carried in. Maintenance 715. Spent 154 on actions (build 62, buy 31, partner 62). 1,849 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics31 credits for 1.40 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Artificial Intelligence by 5 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence31 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Global Value Chain Position by 1 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position31 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Labour & Employment by 1 per cent
  • BuildLabour & Employment31 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +2.9 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+1.62+1.630.00+0.04−0.05
Artificial Intelligence+1.37+1.350.00+0.04−0.03
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.92+0.900.00+0.04−0.03
Digital & Services Trade+0.89+0.840.00+0.040.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.70+0.730.00+0.04−0.07
Global Value Chain Position+0.68+0.640.00+0.040.00