Round 5 · simulation 1 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-graph-leverage

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.089 to 16.20.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.20 (+0.090)
In: 16.11
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
1,174
In: 966
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.09+0.0022
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.32+0.0052
National Security14.4114.41+0.0023
Human Capital17.1117.66+0.5461
Information & Influence15.7015.91+0.2082
Governance & Integrity15.8415.84+0.0014
Financial Strength16.2316.27+0.0424 → 2
Production & Innovation16.6316.630.0001
Trade & Investment16.6816.680.0002

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,030, plus 966 carried in. Maintenance 668. Spent 153 on actions (build 123, buy 31). 1,174 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.70 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills31 credits for 2.03 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling31 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education31 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation31 credits for 0.99 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 4 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.44+1.440.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.29+1.290.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.22+1.220.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.99+0.990.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.68+0.680.000.000.00
Advanced Education+0.51+0.510.000.000.00