Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.063 to 16.27.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.27 (−0.063)
- In: 16.33
- Rank by index
- 5
- In: 5
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 1,405
- In: 1,238
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.09 | 15.95 | −0.132 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.33 | 16.04 | −0.290 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.08 | −0.336 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.12 | 18.30 | +0.181 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.39 | 16.31 | −0.082 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.84 | 15.66 | −0.187 | 4 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 16.37 | 16.46 | +0.097 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.63 | 16.57 | −0.064 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.82 | 17.07 | +0.248 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,043, plus 1,238 carried in. Maintenance 721. Spent 155 on actions (build 62, partner 93). 1,405 carried over.
- BuildFoundational Education31 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity31 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 2 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection31 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 3 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence31 credits for 1.91 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 5 per cent
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −13.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +1.44 | +1.72 | 0.00 | −0.28 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.84 | +1.00 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.79 | +0.95 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.72 | +0.88 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.59 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.56 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |