Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index +0.012 to 17.11.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.11 (+0.012)
- In: 17.10
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 6
- In: 6
- Credits carried
- 1,515
- In: 1,552
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.89 | 16.85 | −0.040 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.85 | 16.92 | +0.068 | 1 |
| National Security | 14.50 | 14.51 | +0.014 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.89 | 18.91 | +0.026 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.65 | 17.55 | −0.099 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.59 | 16.77 | +0.179 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 16.64 | 16.52 | −0.118 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 17.18 | 17.29 | +0.118 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.72 | 18.68 | −0.039 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,087, plus 1,552 carried in. Maintenance 962. Spent 163 on actions (build 98, buy 33, partner 33). 1,515 carried over.
- BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability33 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics33 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Industrial & Sectoral Base by 0 per cent
- BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base33 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Resource Infrastructure by 1 per cent
- BuyResource Infrastructure33 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Labour & Employment by 0 per cent
- BuildLabour & Employment33 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 1 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −18.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour & Employment | +0.88 | +1.06 | 0.00 | −0.20 | +0.02 |
| Resource Infrastructure | +0.70 | +0.75 | 0.00 | −0.05 | 0.00 |
| Population Health | +0.51 | +0.56 | 0.00 | −0.06 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.50 | +0.61 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.01 |
| Transparency, Oversight & Accountability | +0.46 | +0.51 | 0.00 | −0.05 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.46 | +0.55 | 0.00 | −0.10 | +0.01 |