Round 15 · simulation 7 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-graph-leverage

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.275 to 16.84.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.84 (−0.275)
In: 17.11
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 6
Credits carried
1,288
In: 1,439
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.8516.74−0.1112
Strategic Infrastructure16.9216.51−0.4121 → 2
National Security14.5114.35−0.1583
Human Capital18.9118.69−0.2241
Information & Influence17.5517.33−0.2221
Governance & Integrity16.7716.81+0.0443 → 1
Financial Strength16.5215.90−0.6161 → 2
Production & Innovation17.2917.06−0.2311
Trade & Investment18.6818.14−0.5461

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 952, plus 1,439 carried in. Maintenance 940. Spent 163 on actions (build 163). 1,288 carried over.

  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability33 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base33 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 0 per cent
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption33 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy by 0 per cent
  • BuildCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy33 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls by 2 per cent
  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls33 credits for 1.02 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −21.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.910.000.00−0.90−0.01
Financial System Depth & Access−0.820.000.00−0.84+0.02
Energy Infrastructure−0.740.000.00−0.750.00
Transport Infrastructure−0.740.000.00−0.740.00
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.740.000.00−0.740.00
Social Infrastructure−0.730.000.00−0.740.00