Round 8 · simulation 1 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.145 to 16.40.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.40 (+0.145)
In: 16.25
Rank by index
4
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 3
Credits carried
1,467
In: 1,280
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9515.96+0.0123
Strategic Infrastructure16.0116.02+0.0072
National Security14.0714.07+0.0033
Human Capital18.3418.46+0.1151
Information & Influence16.2916.54+0.2512
Governance & Integrity15.6515.65+0.0025
Financial Strength16.2316.41+0.1764 → 1
Production & Innovation16.6916.82+0.1341
Trade & Investment17.0617.67+0.6051

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,047, plus 1,280 carried in. Maintenance 707. Spent 154 on actions (build 31, partner 123). 1,467 carried over.

  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection31 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance31 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication31 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 1 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence31 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 4 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.83+1.830.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.61+1.590.000.00+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+1.04+0.940.000.00+0.10
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.84+0.820.000.00+0.02
Economic Output & Productivity+0.82+0.820.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.77+0.780.000.000.00