Round 6 · simulation 3 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.208 to 15.97.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.97 (+0.207)
In: 15.76
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
1,128
In: 908
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.5715.61+0.0333
Strategic Infrastructure16.0916.18+0.0852
National Security14.4114.40−0.0053
Human Capital17.4117.90+0.4941
Information & Influence15.1115.86+0.7472
Governance & Integrity15.5115.61+0.0985
Financial Strength15.5015.60+0.0975
Production & Innovation16.0916.16+0.0702
Trade & Investment16.1716.42+0.2523 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 985, plus 908 carried in. Maintenance 633. Spent 131 on actions (build 53, buy 26, partner 53). 1,128 carried over.

  • BuildDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks26 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance26 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation26 credits for 1.91 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education26 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance26 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Market access opening S12. +14.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+2.09+2.060.00+0.04−0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.79+1.780.00+0.04−0.03
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.38+1.300.00+0.080.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.21+1.040.00+0.160.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.11+0.960.00+0.16−0.01
Advanced Education+0.60+0.520.00+0.080.00