Round 7 · simulation 3 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.176 to 16.15.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.15 (+0.177)
In: 15.97
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 1
Credits carried
1,270
In: 1,072
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.6115.65+0.0433
Strategic Infrastructure16.1816.25+0.0792
National Security14.4014.39−0.0083
Human Capital17.9018.18+0.2721
Information & Influence15.8616.27+0.4122 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.6115.71+0.0975 → 4
Financial Strength15.6015.79+0.1905
Production & Innovation16.1616.30+0.1382
Trade & Investment16.4216.78+0.3632

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,024, plus 1,072 carried in. Maintenance 678. Spent 148 on actions (build 59, partner 89). 1,270 carried over.

  • BuildInvestment Attraction & Projection30 credits for 1.48 levelsmctsahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity30 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence30 credits for 1.89 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +5.0 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.33+1.300.00+0.04−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.02+0.940.00+0.08−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.99+0.960.00+0.04−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.92+0.880.00+0.040.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.90+0.740.00+0.160.00
Advanced Education+0.60+0.520.00+0.080.00