Round 9 · simulation 3 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.137 to 16.50.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.50 (+0.137)
In: 16.36
Rank by index
3
In: 5
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 3
Credits carried
1,448
In: 1,314
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9115.93+0.0242
Strategic Infrastructure16.3416.35+0.0122
National Security14.3914.39+0.0013
Human Capital18.3518.39+0.0461
Information & Influence16.6717.07+0.4071
Governance & Integrity15.8015.80−0.0014
Financial Strength15.9916.09+0.1022 → 1
Production & Innovation16.5216.67+0.1502
Trade & Investment17.2717.76+0.4911

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,057, plus 1,314 carried in. Maintenance 765. Spent 158 on actions (build 32, partner 126). 1,448 carried over.

  • BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance32 credits for 1.89 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade32 credits for 1.90 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication32 credits for 1.68 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Global Value Chain Position by 3 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position32 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Information Environment & Strategic Communication by 4 per cent
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication32 credits for 1.77 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 0 per cent

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Digital & Services Trade+0.95+0.950.000.000.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.88+0.880.000.00−0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.86+0.850.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.85+0.840.000.00+0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.81+0.810.000.00+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.81+0.780.000.00+0.03