Round 8 · simulation 3 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.213 to 16.36.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.36 (+0.212)
In: 16.15
Rank by index
5
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 2
Credits carried
1,383
In: 1,207
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.6515.91+0.2553 → 2
Strategic Infrastructure16.2516.34+0.0862
National Security14.3914.39−0.0073
Human Capital18.1818.35+0.1741
Information & Influence16.2716.67+0.3981
Governance & Integrity15.7115.80+0.0994
Financial Strength15.7915.99+0.2075 → 2
Production & Innovation16.3016.52+0.2172
Trade & Investment16.7817.27+0.4862 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,051, plus 1,207 carried in. Maintenance 721. Spent 154 on actions (build 31, buy 31, partner 92). 1,383 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity31 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 4 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection31 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence31 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +5.0 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 3 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+2.15+2.110.00+0.040.00
Artificial Intelligence+2.00+1.950.00+0.04+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.70+1.520.00+0.16+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.03+0.940.00+0.080.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.98+0.890.00+0.04+0.05
Economic Output & Productivity+0.93+0.850.00+0.080.00