Round 8 · simulation 7 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.122 to 16.67.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.67 (+0.122)
In: 16.55
Rank by index
2
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 4
Credits carried
1,812
In: 1,627
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2716.29+0.0162
Strategic Infrastructure16.5716.59+0.0201
National Security14.4114.42+0.0073
Human Capital18.2618.48+0.2161
Information & Influence16.6916.93+0.2432 → 1
Governance & Integrity16.0916.10+0.0143
Financial Strength16.4116.56+0.1552 → 1
Production & Innovation16.9117.05+0.1391
Trade & Investment17.3017.58+0.2891

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,113, plus 1,627 carried in. Maintenance 766. Spent 163 on actions (build 98, partner 65). 1,812 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity33 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence33 credits for 1.98 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 3 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks33 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education33 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 3 per cent
  • BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance33 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +0.4 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.99+0.990.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.92+0.900.000.00+0.02
Economic Output & Productivity+0.85+0.830.000.00+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.83+0.770.00+0.01+0.04
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.80+0.800.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.61+0.550.000.00+0.05